Recent Increase in COVID-19 Cases Reported Among Adults Aged 18–22 Years

United States, May 31-September 5, 2020

Phillip P. Salvatore, PhD; Erisa Sula, MS; Jayme P. Coyle, PhD; Elise Caruso, MPH; Amanda R. Smith, PhD; Rebecca S. Levine, PhD; Brittney N. Baack, MPH; Roger Mir, MPH, MSCEng; Edward R. Lockhart, PhD; Tejpratap S.P. Tiwari, MD; Deborah L. Dee, PhD; Tegan K. Boehmer, PhD; Brendan R. Jackson, MD; Achuyt Bhattarai, MD

Disclosures

Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. 2020;69(39):1419-1424. 

In This Article

Discussion

In August 2020, CDC and case-reporting jurisdictions identified an increase in the percentage of COVID-19 cases among persons aged 18–22 years. Incidence in this age group changed 2.1-fold during this time, compared with a 1.5-fold change in testing (possibly related to new screening practices as colleges and universities reopened). Although increased incidence was likely driven in part by an increase in COVID-19 diagnostic testing, this is unlikely to be the sole reason for the observed increases in incidence.

The observed increases in COVID-19 cases among persons aged 18–22 years could be driven by many factors, including changes in behavior or risk profiles resulting from multiple social, economic, and public policy changes during this period. Because approximately 45% of persons aged 18–22 years attend colleges and universities and 55% of those attending identified as White persons,[6] it is likely that some of this increase is linked to resumption of in-person attendance at some colleges and universities. Detailed exposure information from patients in this age group (e.g., through targeted epidemiologic studies) can help identify the specific drivers of the observed trends.

The findings in this report are subject to at least four limitations. First, race/ethnicity data were complete for only one half of cases reported to CDC; changes in completeness of race/ethnicity data over time call for caution in interpretation of the observed trends in race/ethnicity. Second, data-reporting lags can delay recognition and reporting of trends in case surveillance data; for this reason, this report examines COVID-19 cases occurring through September 5, which might be more completely reported than are cases in more recent weeks. Third, a revised COVID-19 case definition introduced by the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists on August 5,¶¶ which updated definitions of probable cases, was gradually adopted by approximately one half of reporting jurisdictions during the period of this analysis and might have introduced additional variability in case reporting. Finally, trends in case surveillance data need to be interpreted in the context of laboratory testing patterns (e.g., repeat testing of all students in some university settings)*** and trends in other age groups and with evidence from other data sources; however, linking testing data with case surveillance remains a challenge because person-level data are deidentified before aggregation or analysis.

Previous reports identified young adults as being less likely than are other age groups to adhere to some COVID-19 prevention measures,[8] which places them and their close contacts at higher risk for COVID-19. Approximately 71% of persons aged 18–22 years reside with a parent, nearly one half attend colleges and universities, and 33% live with a parent while enrolled.[6,9] To prevent cases on campuses and broader spread within communities, it is critically important for students, faculty, and staff members at colleges and universities to remain vigilant and take steps to reduce the risk for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in these settings. Transmission by young adults is not limited to those who attend colleges and universities but can occur throughout communities where young adults live, work, or socialize and to other members of their households,[3–4] some of whom might be at high risk for severe COVID-19–associated illness because of age or underlying medical conditions. Mitigation and preventive measures targeted to young adults (e.g., social media toolkits discussing the importance of mask wearing, social distancing, and hand hygiene),[10] including those attending colleges and universities, can likely reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission among their contacts and communities. Institutions of higher education should support students and communities by taking action to promote healthy environments.[7]

Comments

3090D553-9492-4563-8681-AD288FA52ACE

processing....