Lyme Disease Emergence After Invasion of the Blacklegged Tick

Ixodes scapularis, Ontario, Canada, 2010-2016

Manisha A. Kulkarni; Isha Narula; Andreea M. Slatculescu; Curtis Russell

Disclosures

Emerging Infectious Diseases. 2019;25(2):328-332. 

In This Article

Conclusions

Although LD incidence in Ottawa had reached ≈7 cases/100,000 population by 2015–2016, the observed incidence rates in KFL and LGL during this period were 4-fold higher (≈30 cases/100,000 population). By comparison, these rates are still far below the ≈110 cases/100,000 population observed in the bordering St. Lawrence County of New York state.[15] Given the ongoing emergence process, LD incidence will likely continue to increase in eastern Ontario as I. scapularis tick populations and B. burgdorferi continue to establish and fill in suitable habitats.[12] This pattern highlights the importance of fine-scale studies to identify patterns and determinants of LD and other tickborne pathogens in different regions and populations.

Our study was limited by the availability of information on location of tick acquisition and patient exposure location. As such, we aggregated data at the FSA level on the basis of location of patient and tick submitter residence and excluded case-patients and tick submitters with reported travel outside their municipality of residence. Spatiotemporal analysis based on the location of exposure would help to more precisely determine the timing and rate of spread.

Altogether, our findings indicate that LD has emerged in eastern Ontario over a relatively short timescale after the invasion of I. scapularis ticks and B. burgdorferi. Tick surveillance data can serve to identify areas of risk for LD emergence.

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