A Looming Joblessness Crisis for New Pharmacy Graduates and the Implications It Holds for the Academy

Daniel L. Brown, PharmD


Am J Pharm Educ. 2013;77(5) 

In This Article

Projected Manpower Needs

In 2001, the Pharmacy Manpower Project sponsored a conference of 2 dozen pharmacy experts to project a vision of pharmacy services and manpower deployment for the year 2020.[4] The participants envisioned a significant expansion of the pharmacist workforce and a shift in their roles and responsibilities from order fulfillment to patient care. Based on a needs forecast, they estimated that by 2020 there would be a 27% decrease in the number of pharmacist full-time equivalents (FTEs) engaged predominantly in order filling (136,400 to 100,000) and an increase in the pharmacist FTEs providing primary patient services (30,000 to 165,000). Overall, they projected a need for 417,000 pharmacist FTEs by 2020, and given the expected supply of only 260,000 pharmacist FTEs, a shortfall of 157,000 by 2020.[4] However, their analysis assumed that the academy would add only 3 new PharmD programs every 10 years.