Predicting the Risk of End-stage Renal Disease in the Population-based Setting

A Retrospective Case-control Study

Eric S Johnson; David H Smith; Micah L Thorp; Xiuhai Yang; Juhaeri Juhaeri


BMC Nephrology. 2011;11 

In This Article


The clinical characteristics needed for prediction--for example, to develop a population-based, prognostic risk score--were often documented during routine care years before patients developed ESRD and required RRT. Nephrologists have long recognized the prognostic value of many of the patient characteristics used in this case-control study. What's important for intervention in primary care is that most of the characteristics are readily available through patient history and the outpatient medical record. Future studies should develop prognostic risk scores to predict the absolute risk of developing ESRD and starting RRT, which will require a more systemic collection of laboratory findings for eGFR and proteinuria.


Comments on Medscape are moderated and should be professional in tone and on topic. You must declare any conflicts of interest related to your comments and responses. Please see our Commenting Guide for further information. We reserve the right to remove posts at our sole discretion.